Statistics Colloquium: Jelena Bradic (University of California San Diego)

Title:

Dynamic Causal Learning: excursions in double robustness

Abstract:

Recent progress in machine learning provides many potentially effective tools to learn estimates or make predictions from datasets of ever-increasing sizes. Can we trust such tools in clinical settings? If a learning algorithm predicts an effect of a new policy to be positive, what guarantees do we have concerning the accuracy of such prediction? The talk introduces new statistical ideas to ensure that the learned estimates in dynamic treatment settings satisfy some fundamental properties. The talk will discuss potential connections and departures between causality and robustness.