Date:
Location:
Title:
Analytics at Biden for President
Abstract:
Statistics and data science play a crucial role in modern presidential campaigns. Models are used to estimate the probability that each registered voter casts a ballot, and the probability that each voter supports a given candidate. Moreover, analysts' recommendations play a key role in the broader campaign strategy, including the decision to invest resources in particular states.
In this talk, I will discuss my experience leading the turnout modeling effort on the Biden for President 2020 campaign, including the unique challenges for campaign analytics in the midst of a global pandemic. I will also highlight some of the broader research questions that emerged out of the campaign, including questions about polling bias and forecasting error.