Statistics Colloquium: Evan Rosenman (Harvard University)

Date: 

Monday, March 29, 2021, 10:30am to 11:30am

Location: 

Zoom - please contact emilie_campanelli@fas.harvard.edu for more information

Headshot of Evan RosenmanTitle:

Analytics at Biden for President

Abstract:

Statistics and data science play a crucial role in modern presidential campaigns. Models are used to estimate the probability that each registered voter casts a ballot, and the probability that each voter supports a given candidate. Moreover, analysts' recommendations play a key role in the broader campaign strategy, including the decision to invest resources in particular states.
In this talk, I will discuss my experience leading the turnout modeling effort on the Biden for President 2020 campaign, including the unique challenges for campaign analytics in the midst of a global pandemic. I will also highlight some of the broader research questions that emerged out of the campaign, including questions about polling bias and forecasting error.